www.tipnews.info
March 27, 2015
Andrew W. Lo
Andrew W. Lo
MIT Sloan School of Management; Director of the Laboratory for Financial Engineering and Principal investigator at the Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence Lab, MIT
Richard T. Thakor
Richard T. Thakor
PhD Candidate in Financial Economics, MIT Sloan School of Management
Investment and finance decisions of biopharmaceutical companies The development of new drugs to treat diseases is an important social good and a significant driver of economic growth and welfare. As a result, most governments have an interest in promoting such investments. However, R&D-intensive firms such as biopharmaceutical companies operate in an increasingly ...
Ernst Berndt
Ernst Berndt
Professor of Applied Economics, MIT Sloan School of Management
March 2015 has been a big month for cancer drugs and the pharmaceutical industry. The US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) granted Bristol-Myers Squibb approval to use the PD-1 inhibitor, Opdivo, in the treatment of advanced squamous non-small cell lung cancer.1 The drug was approved on the basis of results from a clinical trial suggesting patients who received Opdi...
Jeffrey R. Brown
Jeffrey R. Brown
William G. Karnes Professor of Finance at the College of Business, University of Illinois
College tuition in the US has been growing faster than inflation since the mid-1980s.1 Tuition plus fees averaged $23,000 for a public college and $46,000 for a private college in academic year 2014–2015.2 The rising cost of attending college, along with the student loan crisis and the slack job market in the US, has led many commentators to ask whether a ...
FactCheck.org
FactCheck.org
A Project of the Annenberg Public Policy Center of the University of Pennsylvania.
Secretary of State John Kerry and Sen. Tom Cotton each claimed the other distorted the facts regarding the role of Congress in a possible international deal on Iran’s nuclear program: Kerry accused Cotton of putting out “false information” that Congress can “change an executive agreement” now being negotiated by the Obama administration. Kerry is correct that Congre...
Ricardo Perez-Truglia
Ricardo Perez-Truglia
Postdoctoral Researcher in Economcs, Microsoft Research New England
Policymakers in the developed and developing world are actively looking to improve tax compliance. This desire becomes more evident during adverse economic times, as witnessed during the fiscal crises following the global downturn of 2008 (Acemoglu and Jackson 2014) and more recently in Greece (Tagkalakis 2014). This demand for tax compliance has sparked a rich literature that ...
Tito Boeri
Tito Boeri
Professor of Economics at Bocconi University, Milan; Scientific Director of the Fondazione Rodolfo Debenedetti and the founder of LaVoce. CEPR Research Fellow
New evidence on credit-employment relationship The 2008 Global Crisis and the associated increase in unemployment on both sides of the Atlantic sparked a new interest in the relationship between financial imperfections and labour market dynamics. In the aftermath of the Crisis, a growing empirical literature has studied the links between financial conditions and emplo...
Guy Michaels
Guy Michaels
Associate Professor in the Department of Economics, LSE; CEPR Research Affiliate
Georg Graetz
Georg Graetz
Assistant Professor in the Department of Economics, Uppsala University
Robots' capacity for autonomous movement and their ability to perform an expanding set of tasks have captured writers' imaginations for almost a century. Recently robots have emerged from the pages of science fiction novels into the real world, and discussions of their possible economic effects have become ubiquitous (see e.g. The Economist 2014, Brynjolfsson and McAfe...
Xavier Vives
Xavier Vives
Professor of Economics and Finance and academic director of the Public-Private Sector Research Center at IESE Business School; CEPR Research Fellow
The present crisis has made evident the failure of the three pillars of the Basel II system. Disclosure and risk assessment have been deficient (think for example about the problems with rating agencies), and market discipline has been ineffective because of the blanket insurance offered by ‘too big to fail’ policies. To this a collective moral hazard problem of ‘too many to fa...
Benjamin Nelson
Benjamin Nelson
Economist, Financial Stability Directorate, Bank of England
Was monetary policy an important driver of financial intermediaries’ balance sheet dynamics in the run-up to the global financial crisis? Should monetary policy have been ‘leaning against the wind’ of the rapid build-up in financial sector leverage that preceded the crisis – including that in the shadow banking sector? A popular narrative is that low US interest rates post-2001...
FactCheck.org
FactCheck.org
A Project of the Annenberg Public Policy Center of the University of Pennsylvania.
Hillary Clinton says neither the federal government nor an independent third party has the right to review emails she sent as secretary of state if she deems them personal. “Government officials are granted the privacy of their personal, non-work related emails, including personal emails on .gov accounts,” her office says. That’s inaccurate. State Department guidelines say t...
Ilan Noy
Ilan Noy
Associate Professor of Economics at Victoria Business School
Disaster-related damages are typically measured by separately examining the numbers of fatalities, injuries, and people otherwise affected – as well as the financial damage caused. This classification system dates back to a 1970s project at the Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC 2003). Currently, EMDAT is the only public database on disaster costs wi...
Uri Dadush
Uri Dadush
Senior Associate, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace; and Distinguished Visiting Fellow, OCP Policy Center
The manufacturing sector has been a driver of development across at least the last three centuries, but its importance appears to be declining. The long-standing belief that manufacturing must lead the growth process, as set out for example by Rodrik (2015), rests on two critical assumptions: First, that manufacturing is the only sector capable of sustainably achiev...
Sylvester Eijffinger
Sylvester Eijffinger
Professor of Financial Economics and European Financial Integration at Tilburg University and CEPR Research Fellow.
Although the global financial crisis hit most of the advanced economies in 2008-09, the situation in the Eurozone deteriorated mostly at the turn of 2009 and 2010 when the newly elected Greek government discovered and announced the massive hidden government deficits, which caused a surge in interest rates on Greek sovereign bonds. The sudden rise in Greek borrowing costs was so...
Arik Levinson
Arik Levinson
Associate Professor in Economics Department, Georgetown University
Over the past 30 years US GDP per capita has nearly doubled while pollution emitted by US manufacturers has declined. Ozone emissions are down 33%, nitrogen dioxide 60%, sulfur dioxide 81%, and carbon monoxide 84%.1 Some analysts point to this cleanup as evidence that economic growth alone will automatically improve the environment. For example John Tierney wrote in ...
Mark Gertler
Mark Gertler
Henry and Lucy Moses Professor of Economics, New York University
Peter Karadi
Peter Karadi
Senior Economist at the Monetary Policy Research division, ECB
How do the costs of credit react to monetary policy? This classic question is relevant not only for monetary policymakers scrutinising the impact of their policy actions, but it can also provide guidance for choosing between competing macroeconomic models. Previous evidence on the impact of monetary policy on economic activity provided convincin...
Charles Courtemanche
Charles Courtemanche
Assistant Professor of Economics in the Andrew Young School of Policy Studies, Georgia State University
The Affordable Care Act of 2010 (ACA, better known as Obamacare) aims to achieve nearly universal health insurance coverage in the US through a multi-pronged approach featuring insurance market reforms, mandates, and subsidies. Most of the law’s coverage expansion components did not take effect until 2014, so there is not yet sufficient data to conduct detailed analyses of thei...
FactCheck.org
FactCheck.org
A Project of the Annenberg Public Policy Center of the University of Pennsylvania.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s highly anticipated speech to Congress contained a curious statement. He claimed Secretary of State John Kerry “confirmed last week that Iran could legitimately possess” 190,000 centrifuges enriching uranium by the end of a long-term nuclear agreement that the U.S. is negotiating with Iran. That, Netanyahu warned, could put Iran “weeks...
Victor Kmmritz
Victor Kümmritz
PhD candidate in International Economics, the Graduate Institute
The growth of global value chains (GVCs) in the recent two decades has been one of the central developments in international trade. As coordination costs and trade costs continue to fall, it has become increasingly attractive for firms to offshore certain stages of their production. This, in turn, has led to the formation of regional and global production networks, which become...
Sebastian Edwards
Sebastian Edwards
Henry Ford II Professor of International Economics at the University of California, Los Angeles
Between 1997 and 2013 there were 24 sovereign bond defaults and debt restructurings in the global economy. According to Moody’s (2013: 6): “[T]he losses imposed on creditors in sovereign restructurings have frequently been very large… Further, the variation around the average sovereign loss has been extremely high – losses have varied from as low as 5% to as high as 95%.” ...
Jon Danielsson
Jon Danielsson
Director of the Systemic Risk Centre at the London School of Economics
Everybody seemed to be caught off guard by the Global Financial Crisis that started in 2007, not the least the financial regulators. They missed all the excessive risk-taking, the build-up of financial imbalances and the accumulation of vulnerabilities in the years and decades before the Crisis. What went wrong and how can we fix it? The common refrain has it that there was ...
Wyplosz Charles
Wyplosz Charles
Professor of International Economics at the Graduate Institute, Geneva; Director of the International Centre for Money and Banking Studies.
For the first time, the ECB has released the minutes of its policymaking meetings. This is a new step towards ‘normalising’ a central bank that long insisted on wearing the old-fashioned mantle of the Bundesbank. Unsurprisingly, perhaps, the minutes do not include any major surprise. They mainly confirm previous leaks. Yet, they are helpful for all those who strive to understan...
FactCheck.org
FactCheck.org
A Project of the Annenberg Public Policy Center of the University of Pennsylvania.
The head of the Environmental Protection Agency told Congress her agency’s proposed rules governing carbon dioxide emissions from power plants will not affect the reliability of electricity service. That’s debatable. Various analyses have arrived at differing conclusions on this issue, and some electricity grid operators say there is a potential for service disruption under ...
Daniel C Hardy
Daniel C Hardy
Advisor, International Monetary Fund
Severe disruption to funding and a liquidity crunch are central features of almost all systemic banking crises. A major fire can break out when a small spark lands on combustible material – so long as there is oxygen available. Likewise, a financial crisis often starts with some relatively minor disturbance to an already-vulnerable system, which is propagated and amplified by l...
Lutz Kilian
Lutz Kilian
Professor of Economics, University of Michigan; and Research Fellow at CEPR.
What played a role in the oil price decline in 2014 After a period of relative stability, the Brent price of crude oil – commonly considered a proxy for the global price of oil – recently experienced a sustained decline that rivalled some of the most dramatic oil price declines to date. Figure 1 shows that the cumulative decline between June and December 2014 alone wa...
Anya Samek
Anya Samek
Assistant Professor, University of Wisconsin-Madison
Marco Piovesan
Marco Piovesan
Associate Professor at the Department of Economics, University of Copenhagen
John List
John List
Professor of Economics, University of Chicago
Daniel Houser
Daniel Houser
Professor of Economics at theInterdisciplinary Center for Economic Science (ICES), George Mason University
Dishonesty is a widespread and multifaceted phenomenon – every day, the news brings reports of corporate dishonesty generating millions of dollars of costs to society. These public scandals, however, account only for a small part of dishonesty in society. Many ordinary people who consider themselves honest nevertheless sometimes cheat on taxes, steal from the workplace, illegal...
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Depression, suicide and the workplace - Q&A Investigators work on March 26, 2015 near scattered debris while making their way through the crash site of the Germanwings Airbus A320 in the French Alps above the southeastern town of Seyne
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World Cup chief executive Jevans resignsDebbie Jevans retires as chief executive of the Rugby World Cup Organising Committee, less than six months before the sport's showpiece tournament in England
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O'Connell wins Six Nations player of championshipIreland's captain Paul O'Connell holds the trophy as Ireland players celebrate at a presentation after the Six Nations international rugby union match between Scotland and Ireland in Edinburgh, Scotland on March 21, 2015
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Spain, England look to fresh faces in Euro 2016 bids(From L) Spain's David de Gea, Iker Casillas and Sergio Andres run during a training session at the Sport City training ground in Las Rozas, near Madrid, on March 25, 2015, ahead of their Euro 2016 qualifying match against Ukraine
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Hanyu takes command at figure skating worlds comebackGabriella Papadakis (L) and Guillaume Cizeron of France compete in the ice dance free dance program during the 2015 ISU World Figure Skating Championships in Shanghai, on March 27, 2015
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MCG holds no fears for Black Caps: SoutheeNew Zealand's cricketers gather for a training session at the Melbourne Cricket Ground (MCG), on March 27, 2015, ahead their Cricket World Cup final match against Australia
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Embattled Renault threatens to quit F1Managing Director Cyril Abiteboul, pictured here in December, said Renault was considering its options, including leaving Formula One.
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Ecclestone warning over Italian GPItaly's Grand Prix in Monza could follow the fate of the German race, which was cancelled for this year's championship due to lack of a venue
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