www.tipnews.info
December 20, 2014
Enrico Minelli
Professor of Political Economy at the Department of Economics and Management, University of Brescia
The publication of Capital in the 21st Century (Piketty 2014) has put the issue of growth and redistribution back at the centre of the economic debate, both in academic and in policy-oriented discussion. Almost every commentator has praised Piketty and his coauthors for the painstaking work of data collection on the long-run evolution of income and wealth. Their int...
Marcelo Giugale
Senior Director of the Global Practice on Macroeconomics and Fiscal Management, World Bank
Sub-Saharan Africa is doing well. The region has never grown so fast for so long. On average, the growth has been around 5% per year over the past decade; the region even breezed through the Global Crisis. Nine African governments have managed, for the first time, to sell bonds in London and New York – and, in a si...
Stephen Cecchetti
Professor of International Economics at the Brandeis International Business School
During the Basel III debate, a key concern was that higher capital requirements might damage economic growth. By forcing banks to increase their capitalisation, long-run growth would be permanently lower and the adjustment itself would put a drag on the recovery from the Great Recession. Unsurprisingly, the private sector saw catastrophe, while the official sector was more sang...
Michael Bordo
Professor of Economics, Rutgers University
Eric Monnet
Economist, Bank of France; associate lecturer in economic history, Paris School of Economics
How central banks cope with the international finance constraint in a fixed-exchange-rate regime is an old debate, with the key tradeoffs typically formulated as Mundell’s trilemma (Klein and Shambaugh 2013). This debate has gained new interest with the recent focus on balance sheet policies of central banks, particularly for Asian countries (Aizenman, et al. 2009, BIS 2012). T...
Dirk Schoenmaker
Dean of the Duisenberg School of Finance and Professor of Finance, Banking and Insurance at the VU University Amsterdam
Global interest rates have been extraordinarily low since the Global Financial Crisis. This recession-fighting monetary policy, however, may be inflating financial bubbles. Macroprudentialism is the policy that many central banks are using to reduce the chances that today’s low-for-long rates are sowing the seeds of future crises. Macroprudentialism, however, involves a set of ...
FactCheck.org
A Project of the Annenberg Public Policy Center of the University of Pennsylvania.
President Barack Obama misspoke when he said that immigrants living illegally in the U.S. would have to “pay any back taxes” in order to qualify for work papers under the plan he initiated via executive action. They would not. We wouldn’t normally be inclined to weigh in with a fact-check when someone erroneously slips an inaccurate word into an impromptu response to a live ...
Alberto Cavallo
Cecil and Ida Green Assistant Professor of Applied Economics, MIT Sloan
Guillermo Crucas
Deputy Director of the Center for Distributive, Labor and Social Studies (CEDLAS), Universidad Nacional de La Plata
Ricardo Perez-Truglia
Postdoctoral Researcher in Economcs, Microsoft Research New England
Expectations about macroeconomic variables play an important role in economic theory and policymaking. Household inflation expectations, in particular, are key to understand consumption and investment decisions, and ultimately, the impact of monetary policies. Although central banks have a natural desire to influence expectations, there is no consensus on how household expectat...
Michael Bordo
Professor of Economics, Rutgers University
Central banks have been around since the 17th century. Central bank credibility has waxed and waned during this period. In many countries, an important contributor to the achievement of credibility has been the introduction of inflation targeting. Our research examines the evolution of central bank credibility using historical narratives and empirics for a group of advanced ...
Lant Pritchett
Professor of the Practice of Economic Development at Harvard University
Lawrence H. Summers
President Emeritus, Harvard University
No question is more important for the living standards of billions of people or for the evolution of the global system than the question of how rapidly differently economies will grow over the next generation. We believe that conventional wisdom makes two important errors in assessing future growth prospects. First, it succumbs to the extrapolative temptation and su...
Eduardo Levy Yeyati
Visiting Professor of Public Policy, Harvard Kennedy School; and Professor of Economics and Finance (on leave), Universidad Torcuato Di Tella (UTDT) and Universidad de Buenos Aires
Samuel Pienknagura
Research Economist in the Office of the Chief Economist for Latin America and the Caribbean, World Bank
Despite the popular reference to the primarisation of exports in most Latin American commodity exporters, the term that better describes the dynamics of supply in recent years is ‘tertiarisation’.1 Propelled by domestic demand and appreciating real exchange rates, economic activity gradually shifted from manufactures to services, which went from representing an avera...
Simon J Evenett
Member of the Warwick Commission on the Future of the Multilateral Trading System after Doha. Co-Director of the CEPR Programme in International Trade and Regional Economics.
Alejandro Jara
Alejandro Jara is the former Ambassador of Chile to the WTO and Chair of the Services Negotiations, former Deputy Director-General of WTO , and presently Senior Counsel, King & Spalding LLP.
The WTO Dispute Settlement Understanding came into effect in 1995. After 400 disputes between WTO members had been addressed, the then Director-General of the WTO, Pascal Lamy, declared “The dispute settlement system is widely considered to be the jewel in the crown of the WTO” (Lamy 2009). He went on to argue that “No trade negotiator enters a negotiation without some assuranc...
Lucian Cernat
Chief Trade Economist of the European Commission
International trade is present in everyone's life.  Be it the fruits we have at breakfast or the electrical devices we use, our daily routine depends on complex trade flows and production processes scattered across multiple countries that hardly get noticed by the final consumer. Trade flows have evolved over time and are becoming increasingly intricate, with countless parts an...
FactCheck.org
A Project of the Annenberg Public Policy Center of the University of Pennsylvania.
Q: Did Obama’s executive actions on immigration include a $3,000 bonus to employers for each immigrant they hire instead of U.S. citizens? A: Not exactly. In very limited cases, employers may avoid the Affordable Care Act’s penalty if they hire immigrants who are not eligible for health care subsidies. But the law bars employers from discriminating against employees based on...
Voxeu.org
VoxEU.org is a policy portal set up by the Centre for Economic Policy Research (www.CEPR.org) in conjunction with a consortium of national sites.
Starting with the seminal work by Saint-Paul (1996), there has been a large literature documenting the negative consequences of dual labour markets in several EU countries.1 Among them, Spain is often cited as the most extreme example, since its labour market is characterised by a large gap between the firing costs of workers with permanent and temporary contracts, a...
Daniel C Hardy
Advisor, International Monetary Fund
Andrés Rodríguez-Pose
Professor, Department of Economic Geography, London School of Economics
Immigration is making regions noticeably more diverse and has become one of the major policy issues of the 21st century. In the UK alone, the foreign-born population has expanded by more than four million in the last two decades (making up more than 15% of the working-age population). What’s more, immigration is more diverse than ever. No longer strictly about Mexicans in Los A...
Athanasios O. Tagkalakis
Advisor-Economist at the Economic Analysis and Research Department, Bank of Greece
Introduction Greece is currently implementing an ambitious, EU-IMF financed, fiscal adjustment programme, the so-called Economic Adjustment Programme (EAP). One of the goals of the EAP is to boost revenue performance by tackling tax evasion through improvements in tax administration. These involve greater autonomy for the tax authority, intensification of tax audits, ...
Jean-Pierre Landau
Economics Department, Sciences Po
Inflation in the Eurozone stood at 0.4% (year on year) in November. It has been persistently declining for almost a year, and constantly undershooting forecasts. The Eurozone is now clearly diverging from many advanced economies, where inflation is either on the rise – albeit at moderate levels – as in the US, or, when falling, still remaining close to target, as the UK. Inf...
Paolo Manasse
Professor of Macroeconomics and International Economic Policy at the University of Bologna
In recent years the European fiscal framework has undergone important reforms (see Frayne and Riso 2013). In 2005, the Stability and Growth Pact was amended in order to take country-specific considerations and economic conditions into account. In the ‘preventive’ arm of the Pact, targets expressed in terms of nominal balances were replaced by country-specific struct...
FactCheck.org
A Project of the Annenberg Public Policy Center of the University of Pennsylvania.
Both sides in the immigration debate are simply misstating the facts. President Obama exaggerated when talking about declines in illegal border crossings, and Republican Rick Santorum made a misleading claim about the foreign-born population in the United States. Obama said that “over the past six years, illegal border crossings have been cut by more than half.” Sou...
Joshua Aizenman
Professor of Economics, University of California Santa Cruz and Research Associate, the NBER
The Global Financial Crisis (GFC) validated the buffer value of international reserves and the active management of buffer funds.   These issues are especially pertinent for commodity exporters, for whom the high volatility of commodity terms of trade translates into large shocks that impact the real exchange rate and GDP. The history of Latin America provides ample examples...
Sebastian Edwards
Henry Ford II Professor of International Economics at the University of California, Los Angeles
Foreign aid is controversial in development economics. Three distinct camps may be distinguished: One believes that official assistance is ineffective, and has harmed poor countries throughout the years. This views official aid as creating dependency, fostering corruption, and encouraging currency overvaluation (Easterly 2014 and Moyo 2010). It also pre...
Kozo Kiyota
Professor of Economics at the Keio Economic Observatory, Keio University and Faculty Fellow, RIETI
With the growing activities of multinationals, one of the major concerns for policymakers in developed countries is the disemployment caused by multinationals, especially in the manufacturing sector.[1] For example, increased competition with foreign countries forces firms to relocate their production sites overseas, which results in disemployment in the home country. In partic...
Shiv Chowla
Economist in the UK Forecast Team of the Monetary Analysis directorate, Bank of England
Lucia Quaglietti
Economist in the International Surveillance Division in the International Directorate, Bank of England
Lukasz Rachel
Senior Economist in the International Directorate, Bank of England
The importance of world shocks for the UK since 2007 The importance of world shocks for the UK economy is well illustrated by the period since 2007. Over that time, world shocks such as the stresses in global financial markets over 2007–09, the steep fall and rise in global commodity prices over 2008–11 and, and since 2010 – the Eurozone crisis – have shaped macroecon...
Jeffrey Frankel
Professor of Economics, Harvard Kennedy School
Valentina Bosetti
Associate Professor at the Department of Economics, Bocconi University
Those worried about the future of the earth’s climate are hoping that this December’s climate change convention in Lima, Peru will yield progress toward specific national commitments, looking ahead to an international agreement at the make-or-break Paris meeting to take place in December 2015. The precedent of the Kyoto Protocol negotiated in 1997 is more discouraging than e...
Masayuki Morikawa
Vice President, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI)
After the Global Crisis, some European countries reduced their public sector wages to ensure fiscal sustainability. In Japan, after the Great East Japan Earthquake, the wages of the central government officials were cut for two years to finance the reconstruction expenses. Even in normal times, the appropriate level of public sector wages is debated frequently in every country....
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